Logit and probit models explaining perceived cycling motives, barriers, and biking trip generation in Lahore, Pakistan

 By Izza Anwer, Houshmand Masoumi, Atif Bilal Aslamd, and Muhammad Asim

Cycling as an attractive mode of transport is a challenge, especially in developing countries like Pakistan. Previous research on cycling in developing countries is insufficient to answer that how people can be encouraged to bike in different regions and cultures. This research, therefore, directs two research questions based on the perceptions of the people of Lahore. The first research question addresses the perceived motives of every-day biking trip generation and the second question addresses the perceived barriers in biking in the city of Lahore. The data sample of 379 subjects was collected through self-reported questionnaire across different socioeconomic groups. The questionnaire was designed to discuss the motives for biking such as affordability, reliability, and accessibility as well as to identify the barriers such as cultural issues, gender problems and non-availability of infrastructure for biking. Along with descriptive statistics, Multinomial Logistic was used to analyze perceived motives, Binary Logistic for perceived barriers and Ordinal Probit for biking trip generation. The obtained results are very interesting and provide various insights about the perceptions of people regarding biking trip generation, motives, and barriers with various factors involved. The results are beneficial to urban developers, city planners, transport planners, policymakers and other stakeholders.

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More about urban issues in Pakistan:

The Neighborhood Effect on Keeping Non-Commuting Journeys within Compact and Sprawled Districts

Logistic models explaining the determinants of biking for commute and non-commute trips in Lahore, Pakistan

Urban travel characteristics in relation with jobs-housing balance and accessibility: results of a survey in Lahore, Pakistan

Cyclability in Lahore, Pakistan: Looking into Potential for Greener Urban Traveling

The Neighborhood Effect on Keeping Non-Commuting Journeys within Compact and Sprawled Districts

 by Melika Mehriar,

 Houshmand Masoumi, Atif Bilal Aslam, and Syed Mubasher Gillani

 

The neighborhood effect on keeping non-commuting trips inside neighborhoods has not yet been investigated in developing countries. The modeling of non-commuting trips inside neighborhoods helps understand how to avoid unnecessary journeys by car into different parts of the city. This paper, therefore, attempts to clarify (1) the similarities and differences in the socioeconomic characteristics and the perceptions of people in sprawled and compact neighborhoods, (2) correlations between, on the one hand, the choice of destinations of non-commuting trips for shopping and entertainment activities and, on the other, the socioeconomic features, travel behavior, and perceptions of residents in the two large Pakistani cities of Lahore and Rawalpindi, (3) the similarities and differences in the determinants of non-commuting destinations inside neighborhoods in compact and sprawled districts. The paper develops four Binary Logistic (BL) regression models, with two models for each type of neighborhood. The findings show that trips to shopping areas inside compact districts are correlated with a sense of belonging to the neighborhood, frequency of public transport use, residential location, and mode choice of non-commuting trips to destinations both inside and outside the neighborhood. On the other hand, the number of non-commuting trips, mode choice for non-commuting trips outside the neighborhood, frequency of public transport use, the attractiveness of shops, and monthly income (please see the Note) are significant determinants for trips to the shopping area in sprawled districts. Age, gender, possession of a driver’s license, income, number of non-commuting trips, mode choice for non-commuting trips outside of the neighborhood, car ownership, and attractiveness of shops in a neighborhood are correlated with trips to entertainment locations inside the neighborhood in compact districts. Finally, the attractiveness of shops, quality of social and recreational facilities, a sense of belonging to a neighborhood, choice of residential location, gender, age, possession of a driver’s license, number of cars in the household, and income are determinants of trips to entertainment locations in sprawled districts. A chi-square test confirms the differences across gender, daily activity, monthly income, frequency of public transport use, residential location choice, and the quality of social and recreational facilities for sprawled and compact districts in Pakistan.  

 

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Similar papers:

Logistic models explaining the determinants of biking for commute and non-commute trips in Lahore, Pakistan

Urban travel characteristics in relation with jobs-housing balance and accessibility: results of a survey in Lahore, Pakistan

Cyclability in Lahore, Pakistan: Looking into Potential for Greener Urban Traveling

Call for Papers: Special Issue: Theme: The Impact of COVID-19 on the transport and logistics management: Lessons learnt and future imperatives

 Call for Papers: Special Issue

Theme: The Impact of COVID-19 on the transport and logistics management: 

Lessons learnt and future imperatives.

This is an open invitation to contribute your latest research towards the special issue 

of the Journal of Transport and Supply Chain Management.

The special issue will publish articles on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on 

transport and logistics sectors. This is in line with the scope of the journal and is an 

important contribution to the body of knowledge documenting the impact of a 

pandemic on the  two sectors.

Online submissions deadline: 28 January 2022

Guest Editors:

• - Professor Noleen Pisa – Department of Transport and Supply Chain Management. 
• University of Johannesburg, South Africa
• - Professor Houshmand Masoumi – Center for Technology and Society. Technische
•  Universität Berlin, Germany /  Department of Transport and Supply Chain Management. 
• University of Johannesburg, South Africa
• - Dr Peter Kilbourn – Department of Transport and Supply Chain Management. 
• University of Johannesburg, South Africa

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The Relation Between Residential Self-Selection and Urban Mobility in Middle Eastern Cities: the Case of Alexandria, Egypt

By Houshmand Masoumi, 

Mohamed R. Ibrahim, & 

Atif Bilal Aslam 

The present paper attempts to fill a part of the gap in the studies on residential location choices and their relations to urban mobility, socio-economics, and the built environment by presenting the results of a study on Alexandria, Egypt, by analysing the results of a survey in eight neighbourhoods undertaken in 2015. Four questions were answered in this study: (i) “How are the main drivers behind residential location choices in Alexandria connected to various socio-demographic groups or people with different availability to urban and built environments?”, (ii) “How are the main residential self-selections in Alexandria associated with one another and which are the most important?”, (iii) “How are the housing location-related decisions of Egyptians similar to or different from international decisions?”, and (iv) “How can planners and decision-makers use the knowledge produced by this study for urban planning and housing in Egypt?”. Library work and the results of a Χ2 test of independence show that availability of transportation modes, nice neighbourhoods, and affordability are the strongest motives behind decisions. However, socio-economic factors are generally stronger than urban mobility and spatial issues. These findings are partly different from those of high-income countries.

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Read more about urban planning and transportation in the Middle East:

Polycentricity in a developing world: A micro-regional analysis for morphological polycentricity in Turkey

Urban Sprawl, Socioeconomic Features, and Travel Patterns in Middle East Countries: A Case Study in Iran

The Relationship between Regular Use of Ridesourcing and Frequency of Public Transport Use in the MENA Region (Tehran and Cairo)

The Association between Regular Use of Ridesourcing and Walking Mode Choice in Cairo and Tehran

Economic Impacts of Adopting a Sustainable Transport System in Beirut

Urban Transformations of the Mediterranean Cities in Light of Developments in the Modern Era

URBAN SPRAWL IN MID-SIZED CITIES OF MENA, EVIDENCE FROM YAZD AND KASHAN IN CENTRAL IRAN

Logistic models explaining the determinants of biking for commute and non-commute trips in Lahore, Pakistan

By Houshmand Masoumi, 

Muhammad Asim, 

Izza Anwer, and 

Sheikh Atif Bilal Aslam

The determinants of biking behavior are less studied in a wide range of developing countries including South Asia. This study takes Lahore, Pakistan as a case-study city to explore the factors defining commute and non-commute bike trips as well as commuting by bike. These issues were analyzed by collecting data from 379 subjects accommodating in three socio-economic statuses (lower, medium, and higher) in Lahore in spring 2018. The data were analyzed by applying multinomial logistic regression for investigating biking frequency and binomial logistic regression for examining commuting by bike. The results show that gender, age, education, income, purpose of the majority of trips, preferred distance to travel using cycle, preferred time to travel using cycle, and preferred bike trip purpose are significantly correlated with biking frequency. The significant determinants of bicycle commuting included categories of education, the purpose of the majority of trips, using bike in combination with other modes, preferred distance to bike, preferred biking time, and preferred bike trip purpose are associated with bicycle commuting. Commuting by bike is a more popular in socio-economically weaker neighborhoods. The discussion of this study shows that the determinants of biking in the sample in Lahore are different from those that have already been addressed by studies undertaken in high-income countries.

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More about bicycle planning:

Urban travel characteristics in relation with jobs-housing balance and accessibility: results of a survey in Lahore, Pakistan

Active Mobility: Bringing Together Transport Planning, Urban Planning, and Public Health

Cyclability in Lahore, Pakistan: Looking into Potential for Greener Urban Traveling

Urban Form and Mobility Choices: Informing about Sustainable Travel Alternatives, Carbon Emissions and Energy Use from Transportation in Swedish Neighbourhoods

Bicycling as a Way of Life: A Comparative Case Study of Bicycle Culture in Portland, OR and Amsterdam

Photos of bike lanes in Amsterdam, Netherlands (1)